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Institutional
With the recent rally in equity prices, the Fed has to be very careful on Wednesday as to the language and specific words it uses going forward. Markets appear to be pricing in a “pivot” to a more dovish to even though the broad consensus remains a 75bp hike in rates.
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There are currently 70% of stocks below their 52-week high. In the past during major bear markets, we peak at 80% prior to a recovery in equity markets.
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Markets are beginning to price in when “peak inflation” or a Fed pivot away from “hawkish” sentiment might occur.
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As to the fundamentals, history suggests that the rapid rises in the dollar, interest rates and oil prices over the past couple of years represent a uniquely bearish trifecta that will likely have a very negative effect on earnings over the next year or so.
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The Fed has re-iterated it is willing to sacrifice a good economy, a robust labor market, and growth in order to get ahead of inflation. The problem is like several tightening cycles: Too late, too much, too fast, and as we enter a recession in clear denial: too long.
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The market shrugged off hawkish “fedspeak” and put in a 3-day rally. The stock market is now in “nowhere ville” between moving averages, no clear trend. Next week’s price action should set the tone (new uptrend or “bear rally”
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Succession planning involving international operations, or even pre- or post-immigration tax planning, are commonly based on the use of corporate structures in the country of origin and/or in another international jurisdiction. Therefore, some strategies are implemented to regulate the transfer of assets, rights, and income between the individual and/or the corporate structures located in the...
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Inflation remains persistent. Economic data showed a “mixed bag” this week. This implies so far that inflation remains uncontained with wages, consumer spending, GDP, and demand under-pacing the current inflation rate of 8.5%.
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It is difficult to underestimate the appeal US real estate has for many international investors. Real estate investments can serve a multitude of attractive purposes. It can be a source of US dollar income, providing a steady flow of return on investment. It can be a storage of wealth for those who wish to secure...
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The S&P 500 Index is closing in on a crucial technical hurdle that will indicate whether it's rebound from June lows is more than just a bear-market bounce. For bullish momentum to extend, the benchmark gauge would need to make a decisive break above...
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